04/14/2008 (10:01 am)

Lawmakers question makers on key Vytorin meeting

Filed under: finance |

Two U.S. Democrats said on Friday their investigation had raised questions about how Merck & Co Inc (MRK.N: Quote, Profile, Research) and Schering-Plough Corp (SGP.N: Quote, Profile, Research) documented a key meeting about a controversial study of their Vytorin cholesterol drug.

House of Representatives Energy and Commerce Committee Chairman John Dingell and Rep. Bart Stupak said company documents showed minutes from a November meeting of outside experts reviewing the study were “created after the fact.”

The documents showed one of the experts complained the minutes did not reflect all the opinions expressed, although he said a later summary did.

A company spokeswoman said participants in the meeting had been told no minutes would be produced, so none were — until the Food and Drug Administration later requested them.

Dingell and Stupak, chairman of the oversight and investigations subcommittee, are probing why the companies did not release the study findings until 20 months after it ended.

The study showed Vytorin was no better than a cheaper generic drug at reducing plaque in neck arteries.

Vytorin, which had sales of $5 billion a year, accounts for the majority of Schering-Plough’s profits cash advance. Shares of Merck and Schering-Plough, which sell Vytorin through a joint venture, have fallen sharply since the results of the study, named Enhance, were released in January.

Dingell and Stupak, both Michigan Democrats, said they “continue to have serious concerns regarding the conduct and reporting” of the Enhance trial. 

Read more

04/12/2008 (11:22 pm)

DuPont raises first-quarter estimates

Filed under: management |

DuPont is raising its first-quarter estimates to about $1.29 per share from $1.14 to $1.19 per share just last month.

The chemicals maker cited strong growth in its agricultural sector and rapid growth in emerging markets.

DuPont says growth overseas will more than offset weakness in the U.S. housing and automobile markets.

The weak dollar is also boosting overseas business, DuPont said.

For the first half of 2008, DuPont expects earnings growth of about 10%, with second quarter earnings about equal to 2007 at $1.05 per share same day payday loans. DuPont also raised the lower end of its full-year 2008 earnings outlook by five cents to a range of $3.40 to $3.55 per share. 

Source

04/11/2008 (5:25 am)

Pending home sales at all-time low

Filed under: finance |

An index of homes under contract for sale fell more than expected in February, reaching the lowest level since the index’s 2001 debut, according to a report released Tuesday.

The National Association of Realtors’ (NAR) Pending Home Sales Index fell to 84.6 in February, down 1.9% from a revised reading of 86.2 in January and down 21.4% versus the same period last year.

Economists were expecting the index to decline to 85.2 for the month, according to a consensus estimate compiled by Briefing.com.

"The slip in pending home sales implies we’re not out of the woods yet," said Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, in a statement.

The Pending Home Sales Index is considered a more forward-looking indicator of home sales than the NAR’s more closely watched existing home sales report, which tracks sales at the time of closing, typically a month or two after a sales contract is signed.

The Pending Home Sales index was launched in 2001, and a reading of 100 is equal to results that first year. Before the housing market began to deteriorate last summer, the steepest decline in the index’s history came in September 2001, when the 9/11 terrorist attack sent the index down to 89.8.

The Realtors revised their forecast slightly for existing home sales, projecting first-quarter existing home sales to decline 23.1% versus the same period last year after saying in March they would decline 23.2% cashadvance.

For the full year, the NAR predicted existing home sales to be 4.7% lower than in 2007, after saying in March they would be down 4.8%.

Existing home sales for March will be released April 22.

"February was another poor month for housing, with pending sales down in most of the country," said Mike Larson, a real estate analyst at Weiss Research.

Larson thinks tight lending standards and the absence of speculative buying are to blame for the weakness in the housing market.

The NAR also lowered its forecasts for first-quarter and full-year real GDP growth, the broadest measure of the nation’s economic strength. It also cut its expectations for nonfarm job growth in the first-quarter and full-year periods.

Yun thinks that the economy will not grow in first half of the year, but he is optimistic about the second half.

"The combination of recent fiscal stimulus enactment and the lagged impact of monetary policy will help jump start the economy in the second half."  

Source

04/09/2008 (10:49 pm)

Online sales to rise 17%, survey says

Filed under: business |

Online spending is expected to rise a robust 17% this year, despite a sluggish economy that has bruised many brick-based retailers, according to an annual survey to be released Tuesday.

Retail sales online, excluding travel purchases, are set to grow to $204 billion in 2008 from $174.5 billion last year, fueled by sales of apparel, computers and autos, according to a survey conducted by Internet analysis firm Forrester Research for Shop.org, the online arm of the National Retail Federation trade group.

That projection is below the 21% increase seen in the prior year, but industry officials attribute it to the maturing of the business, not the sluggish economy.

E-commerce "is clearly the bright spot in retailing," said Scott Silverman, executive director of Shop.org.

The upbeat report contrasts with the outlook for many traditional retailers, which have been paring down store growth and closing shops as they struggle with consumers who don’t feel like spending amid higher gas and food costs, a housing slump and a weaker job market. The exceptions are discounters and wholesale clubs, as shoppers turn to less expensive stores.

On Thursday, the nation’s retailers are expected to report at best flat sales growth in March, according to the International Council of Shopping Centers. Same-stores sales are sales at stores opened at least a year and are considered a key indicator of a retailer’s health.

Two kinds of shoppers. Online retailers are not immune to the same economic challenges, but what has spearheaded e-commerce growth is a "tale of two shoppers that visit the Web for different reasons," according to Sucharita Mulpuru, a Forrester Research analyst and lead author of the report.

There are the price-sensitive shoppers who appear to be buying more items online as they look for better prices. And then there are the more affluent customers, who have been increasing their online spending because of the convenience and vast offerings.

But those shoppers looking for a bevy of free online shipping deals may not find them as plentiful as they did last year. The study, which surveyed 125 online retailers in February and March, showed that merchants are less interested in using such promotions this year. While 85% of online retailers said they used some shipping incentive in the past year, just 35% said they would focus more on these types of deals in 2008.

Instead, retailers said they plan to invest more in advertising on social networking sites like News Corp.’s (NWS, Fortune 500) myspace.com and facebook.com, according to the survey.

That may not be the best strategy, according to Mulpuru.

"It’s great for brand-building and for buzz, but it’s still unproven how social networking drives direct revenue" for retailers, said Mulpuru. 

Sourse

04/08/2008 (8:01 am)

India Central Bank Should Shun Rate Rises, Jalan Says

Filed under: term |

India's government, facing slowing economic growth and runaway inflation, should limit cash available to banks to lend instead of raising interest rates, former central bank governor Bimal Jalan said.

“In this kind of a situation, when there is a great emergency, I don't think it is the rate of interest that is the answer because of the delay in transmission,'' Jalan, 67, said in an interview from New Delhi. “It would be much more the liquidity side.''

India this week is holding the biggest sale of bonds and bills since January to slow the supply of money in the financial system. Bond yields rose to an eight-month high today on expectations the Reserve Bank of India will increase the amount of cash banks must hold in reserve to the most since 2001.

Economists including Goldman Sachs Group Inc. have said Governor Yaga Venugopal Reddy will raise rates for the first time in more than a year to rein in inflation from a three-year high. Growth in money supply, which stokes prices, averaged near a decade-high in the past year as the fastest economic growth since independence in 1947 boosted consumption.

`Firefighting'

“The government appears to be in a firefighting mode now and would want immediate results on inflation control,'' said Prasanna Ananthasubramaniam, a fixed-income analyst in Mumbai at ICICI Securities Ltd. “The central bank may raise the cash reserve ratio this month as persistently higher inflation numbers are feeding price expectations.''

Reddy raised key policy rates nine times since 2004 and the cash reserve ratio, or the proportion of deposits banks need to hold in reserve, five times since December 2006. He kept the repurchase rate unchanged at 7.75 percent, the highest since 2002, and the cash ratio at a seven-year high of 7.5 percent of at the last monetary policy meeting on Jan. 29. The next statement is scheduled for April 29.

Wholesale price gains in Asia's third-largest economy accelerated to 7 percent, the fastest since December 2004, in the week ended March 22, a government report showed on April 4. Inflation has outpaced the central bank's 5 percent target level since February. Growth in money supply has exceeded the bank's target for a year.

Containing Inflation

Prime Minister Manmohan Singh yesterday pledged to take all measures to contain inflation, two days after the government said it would crack down on hoarders of food and essential commodities. The government needs to keep food affordable to shore up support before general elections within 13 months.

“We are all concerned,'' Singh said in New Delhi cash advance. “Whatever more can be done, will be done.''

India may settle for less growth in its fight against inflation, Finance Minister Palaniappan Chidambaram said March 28. He expects the $906 billion economy to expand at about 8 percent in the year starting April 1, the slowest since 2005. Economic growth has averaged 8.7 percent since 2003, the fastest after China among major economies.

“Whether the rate of growth is 8 percent, 9 or 7.5 percent, it doesn't change anything particularly in terms of national policy,'' said Jalan, who headed the Mumbai-based Reserve Bank for six years starting 1997, helping tackle the impact of the Asian financial crisis. “What they are talking about is a slight slowdown and then if you have excess demand, those are not issues of any great conflict of interests.''

Rising Yields

The yield on the benchmark 7.99 percent note due July 2017 rose as much as 2 basis points to 8 percent, the highest since August in Mumbai. The rupee rose as much as 0.2 percent to 39.8925 per dollar. A basis point is 0.01 percentage point.

The government said on April 4 it will sell 90 billion rupees ($2.25 billion) of bonds and bills in the first such sales since February.

“Technically speaking, you can't have inflation, unless there's demand-side pressures,'' said Jalan, who was succeeded by Reddy in September 2003. “By definition, if you're worried about inflation, then there has to be excess demand, excess liquidity. Otherwise prices wouldn't rise, they cannot rise.''

Allowing rupee gains to cut the cost of imports and slow inflation can only be a “temporary'' measure, Jalan said. Goldman Sachs last week forecast the rupee to climb to 38.3 per dollar in 12 months as policy makers allow currency gains, with the aid of higher interest rates, to temper prices of imported goods and commodities.

“It is an option but it doesn't solve the issue,'' he said. “Unless you have a crisis of the type which we don't have, this is a phenomenon which you'd call a more short-term measure.''

Jalan said he didn't use currency “appreciation by design'' to control prices during his tenure at the central bank. The rupee, which had the first loss in seven quarters in the three months through March, is Asia's third-worst performer this year.

“We had the opposite problem at that time,'' he said. “We were in the midst of the East Asian crisis.''

Source

04/07/2008 (12:46 am)

Economists expect more job losses

Filed under: marketing |

WASHINGTON — Dismal employment data released Friday isn’t just the latest sign the U.S. economy is in recession — it’s also a warning that this one could hurt more than the previous two.

The loss of almost 250,000 jobs in the first quarter of this year is already comparable to job losses at the start of recessions past. Once the data are revised, analysts say, they are likely to show a labor market — and broader economy — in even deeper trouble http://payday-z.com.

Even if the oft-forecast recession of 2008 mirrors the climate of the relatively mild 2001 recession — as many economists expect — hundreds of thousands more Americans stand to lose their jobs.

"We’re at the beginning of a protracted period of labor market contraction," said Jared Bern

04/05/2008 (1:06 pm)

Schering stock jumps on job cuts

Filed under: online |

Schering-Plough’s stock jumped Thursday, after the drugmaker’s chief executive announced he would cut 10% of its staff.

The cuts were announced by CEO Fred Hassan late Wednesday. They will affect more than 5,000 of Schering’s 55,000 employees and are expected to result in savings of $1 billion through 2012.

Schering’s (SGP, Fortune 500) stock rose about 9% in afternoon trading. It’s welcome news to the company, whose share price has dropped by half since mid-January because of fallout related to one of its lead products, Vytorin.

On Jan. 14, New Jersey-based drugmakers Schering and Merck (MRK, Fortune 500) unveiled study results saying that their combination drug Vytorin was no more effective at reducing arterial plaque than its component Zocor. Merck’s Zocor has been available as a generic since 2006, at one-third the cost of Vytorin. Vytorin also contains Zetia, produced by Schering.

Schering’s problems worsened on March 30, when a panel of cardiologists at the annual conference of the American College of Cardiology in Chicago said that doctors should use older cholesterol drugs instead of Vytorin. Schering’s stock plunged nearly 30% in the first three days of trading this week.

Vytorin was a $4 billion-a-year drug, with sales split between Merck and Schering. Jami Rubin, analyst for Morgan Stanley, expects Vytorin sales to decline 30% this year. Based on that, Rubin lowered the 12-month price target for Schering to $20 a share from $28.

Nonetheless, Rubin in a published report described Schering stock as "fundamentally undervalued and reflects the complete wipe-out of the Vytorin franchise." Without Vytorin, Rubin said the stock is worth $14 to $15 a share, which is where it’s currently trading.

"We are buyers on the stock as we believe the pull-back has been too severe especially in light of Schering’s attractive base business and pipeline," wrote Rubin payday advance online. "Moreover, management’s take-charge attitude is reassuring and likely at the very least protects the value of the base business, which is where the stock is currently trading."

Michael Krensavage, analyst for investment firm Raymond James, said he rated Schering a "strong buy" and said the market has "gone too far" in driving down the company’s share price because of Vytorin.

Krensavage said that Schering’s enterprise value - the sum of its market cap, net debt and preferred stock - is 1.64 times its estimated 2008 revenue, excluding sales from Vytorin and Zetia. Krensavage said that’s "the cheapest I’ve ever seen for a large cap pharma stock in my career."

Krensavage also said that investors are ignoring the company’s successful products like Remicade, a treatment for seven different inflammatory diseases. Remicade sales jumped by a third in 2007 to $1.6 billion.

But Barbara Ryan, analyst for Deutsche Bank North America, said in a published report that she wasn’t budging on her "hold" rating. She said the announced restructuring "reiterates that Schering is no longer a growth story, but a cost cutting one."

Schering’s job cut announcement comes just days after Wyeth (WYE, Fortune 500) on March 28 said it would cut 1,200 jobs. The drugmakers Merck, Pfizer (PFE, Fortune 500) and Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY, Fortune 500) are also laying off thousands of employees in order to cut costs. 

Source

04/04/2008 (5:12 am)

Wal-Mart to launch coffee brand

Filed under: finance |

Retailer Wal-Mart Stores Inc. said Tuesday it will launch six coffees under its private-label Sam’s Choice brand.

Wal-Mart said the Sam’s Choice coffees will begin selling this month for $5.88 per 10- to 12-ounce bag.

The company said the coffees include Fair Trade Certified House Blend, Espresso Roast and French Roast; Rainforest Alliance Certified Breakfast Blend whole bean and ground coffee; and Organic Swiss Water Process Decaffeinated.

The retailer said its fair-trade certified coffees are grown by family farmers who are paid a minimum guaranteed price for coffee grown and harvested under certain environmental standards instant payday loan.

Rainforest Alliance certified coffee comes from farms that use environmentally, socially and economically sustainable practices that conserve biodiversity, the company added.

The company’s organic certified decaffeinated coffee comes from farmers that have eliminated pesticides and fertilizers, Wal-Mart said.

Wal-Mart (WMT, Fortune 500) shares rose 63 cents to $53.31 in morning trading. 

Source

04/02/2008 (9:57 pm)

Democrats seek quick strike vs. foreclosure

Filed under: money |

Leading Democrats in the Senate said Monday they would try to force a vote this week on legislation designed to help troubled mortgage-holders stay in their homes.

Democrats will try to win Senate consideration for their Foreclosure Prevention Act, which aims to help families avoid foreclosure and aid the recovery of communities already harmed by the crisis. Republicans blocked an earlier attempt to debate the bill last month.

"This is a pivotal week," said Sen. Christopher Dodd, D-Conn, the chairman of the Senate Banking Committee. "Failure to act is not an option. The problem is growing more serious by the hour and any delay is putting more homeowners in jeopardy."

Republicans agree that the legislation is in play.

"It’s going to be an important week on the committee," said Steve Wymer, an aide to Sen. Wayne Allard, R-Colo., a member of the banking panel. "Senator Allard has always worked well with the Chair."

Sen. Harry Reid, D-Nev., the Senate majority leader, said that the White House has been unresponsive. The administration has advocated for voluntary foreclosure rescue actions by lenders, rather than backing a comprehensive government-led assault.

"The Republicans in the Senate have stopped us from going forward with legislation, [but that] hands-off approach doesn’t work," Reid said.

Reid also contrasted the administration’s position with its quick action in helping out the struggling investment bank, Bear Stearns. "The federal government has provided assistance to Wall Street," he said. "Now, Congress must turn its attention to Main Street."

The mortgage crisis has extended well beyond the subprime loans that triggered it, according to Dodd.

He cited Bank of America in saying the situation will worsen later this year as rates reset for $362 billion in subprime, adjustable rate mortgages. For many borrowers, the rates will adjust to unaffordable levels.

Dodd said that will lift already record foreclosure rates and further harm an economy which he believes is already in recession.

"Remember, this economic crisis has as its center a housing crisis," he said. "And the center of the housing crisis is the foreclosure crisis."

One factor that may get in the way of any agreement with Senate Republicans is if Dodd insists on bankruptcy reforms that would allow judges to reduce mortgage balances to match drops in actual home values.

Alex Pollock, from the libertarian American Enterprise Institute, pointed out that the bankruptcy proposal could be a deal killer on Capitol Hill because it involves the government changing contracts through the courts.

"It will make it much more difficult, and rightfully so, to pass," Pollock said.

Both senators dismissed Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson’s initiative, also announced Monday, to overhaul bank regulation in order to avoid future mortgage debacles paydayloan. They said the reforms are welcome but will do nothing to address current problems.

"To talk about overhauling the regulatory system is a wonderful idea," said Dodd. "But, frankly, it doesn’t relate to the issues that we’re grappling with here, and the problems we’ve got to confront."

Dodd disputed the idea that earlier reform would have enabled the nation to avoid the foreclosure crisis. "That has nothing to do with it," he said.

The regulatory bodies have had the authority to regulate lending standards for years, according to Dodd.

"The failure is leadership, the failure of the administration to utilize the tools they’ve been given over the years to deal with the very practices that caused this problem.," he said. "That’s the problem here, not reorganization of the regulatory system."

According to Wymer, however, regulation simply fell behind the vast and swift-moving changes in the financial markets.

Innovations in packaging, repackaging and marketing mortgage backed securities have left regulators to play catch up, the GOP aide said.

Speaking along with the senators was Jared Bernstein, an economist for the Economic Policy Institute, a liberal Washington think tank, who said any solution to the crisis should contain a three-pronged approach.

Help should not go to speculators; it should be funneled only to deserving homeowners, according to Bernstein. And he said aid should be given in ways that help markets quickly find their bottoms by encouraging mortgage servicers to lower mortgage balances to actual market values.

Solutions should also be structured conservatively so that good money will not be thrown after bad, in an effort to get into and out of the correction rapidly, Bernstein added.

"The big problem we’re facing now is that the housing market has a unique characteristic," said Bernstein. "It takes a long time for price corrections to occur there, and the market can’t clear until this correction is complete."

Plans like Dodd’s, which calls for dropping mortgage balances down to what the homes are worth, facilitate the needed correction, according to Bernstein.

"In essence, the plan gives lenders the chance to take a quick hit versus the slow bleed that could end in foreclosure," he said. 

Source

« Previous Page